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6/01  See No Point

8:10 p.m. I hate to have to say things like this every weekend, but I haven't been able to come to conclusion. However, I'm exhausted, stressed, sleepy, and unfocused at the moment, that I see no point in forcing myself to work longer.

Have just managed to cross out about half of the candidates. Guess I'll have to leave it here and see if I could finish tomorrow before the race especially, when the weather is unstable and I'm not sure what the track condtion might be like.

The remaining candidates at tis point are Red Mon Reve, Geoglyph, Romantic Warrior, Parallel Vision, Soul Rush, Win Carnelian, Voyage Bubble, Serifos, and Danon Scorpion. Now, if you'll excuse me, I'd like to revive myself with some beer and pizza after a nice hot bath.

The End

Caterpillar

6/02  Won't be Seeing

6:52 p.m. I tried to narrow down the candidates, though was met with difficulty while I couldn't choose a horse to key either. The track condition was announced to be goot to firm, but I guessed it was rather close to yielding.

If the pace didn't get tight, the inner post drawers and front runners will be advantaged, so I decided to buy mostly inner post drawers. For horses drawing outer posts, I only bought Serifos because I thought he could take his position up front. And if the track isn't firm and fast, I thought I could trust Romatic Warrior so I keyed the horse on trio wheel with Gaia Force, Geoglyph, Namur, Serifos, and Parallel Vision.

As you already know, I lost because I didn't include Soul Rush in my wheel and I'm afraid we won't be seeing Mr. Moreira anymore.

The End

Caterpillar

6/03  Not Enough

6:47 p.m. As a result, keying Romatic Warrior ignoring my notes from last year was right. I didn't exactly ignore it, though. The idea of keying Serifos popped up in my head but then, Serifos had two problems.

One is that he was starting from an outer post while he peforms generally better starting from inner posts. Another problem was that Serifos ran Milers' Cup as a step whereas he chose Dubai Turf last year when he performed well in Yasuda Kinen. Moreover, Serifos was likely to downgrade his performance compared to last year.

On the other hand, Romatic Warrior had several advantages. It was the first time to run in a Japanese race, the distance was shortening from 2000 meters to a mile, the track condition has changed toward the horse's preferance. It looks like I had sense and cool nerve to make a logical decision, but not enough to keep Soul Rush on the wheel.

The End

Caterpillar

6/04  Discussed and Agreed

7:43 p.m. Discussed with Mr. N-jima how badly Gaia Force was ridden in Yasuda Kinen and we both agreed on the possibility of the horse winning or finishing second at worst, if the rider had been able to think ahead, choose the right position and course, and given the horse a go earllier than he actually did.

There's another thing on my mind about the race, which I need to check out but maybe I'll do it some other time. It's surely not now when I'm tapping on the keyboard racing the clock.

Haven't decided yet which race to call this weekend, Epsom Cup or Hakodate Sprint Stakes. I guess I'll wait and see until the entries are closed on Thursday.

The End

Caterpillar

6/05  Safe and Sound

7:35 p.m. Busy as always since last week. It's amazing how you get used to it, though. At the moment, I'm struggling with booting my old lap-top from a USB flash memory.

Taking a break, looking at the entry form of Epsom Cup, but it doesn't look like the race would end safe and sound. Currently, the most favored in expected win odds is Lebenstil naturally, because Christophe is riding. It doesn't look like this 4-year-old horse is suddenly going to win after the huge loss of Niigata Daishoten carrying 59 kgs, not to my eyes.

As for Hakodate Sprint Stakes, I don't even feel like looking at the entry form as there are 23 horses entered at this point. Okay, break finish. Let me get back to the USB boot.

The End

Caterpillar

6/06  Straining Too Hard

8:14 p.m. Erm... The entry for the weekend races have been closed, but it's hard to choose which race to buy.

Apparently, Lebenstil seems shaky. Yet there isn't a horse that stands out to be trustworthy enough to key at this point. Nevertheless, Tokyo should be easier to grasp the track condition, knowing how the weather has been for the past week.

On the other hand, the most favored in expected win odds for Hakodate Sprint Stakes Asakara King, also seems dangerous. Sure, the horse won Morganite Stakes after the momentum of his success in Hankyu-hai. That's exactly what I fear, though. Nothing comes from straining oneself too hard.

The End

Caterpillar

6/07  Get to Work

8:03 p.m. While I was sluggish, the barriers have already been drawn.

I just can't shake off my doubts for Lebenstil. Yet I would have to buy him if I choose Epsom Cup, since Chritophe is riding. But then, I don't think I've ever won Epsom Cup before. Okay, my mind's finally decided. I'll go for Hakodate Sprint Stakes this week.

Calling Hakodate Sprint is going to be hard, though. All I know at this point (and it's already Friday) is that Asakara King probably won't win. Well, I ought to quit mumbling and get to work.

The End

Caterpillar

6/08  Reeeeally Hard

8:01 p.m. That was hard, reeeeally hard to call.

Basically, I'm underestimating the 4-year-olds as you all might already know. But the older horses seem unreliable winning only in lower categories. As a result, I had to count on Lord Kanaloa descendants. Lord Kanaloa descendants perform well in sprint races especially, in Hokkaido.

Satono Reve will be the key since I've ditched Asakara King. On the wheel would be Carne Asada, Kimiwa Queen, Win Greatest, Jubilee Head, and Big Caesar. Cinnamon Stick and Sonnig are concerning, but I couldn't buy them all.

The End

Caterpillar

6/09  Undefeatable Lord Kanaloa

4:07 p.m. Yay! I didn't think the payout would be this much. I mean, it's not much but it's more than I'd expected. This is what happens when the most favored horse sinks in 9th place, ha!

To b honest, I wasn't really sure as I mentioned yesterday. In fact, I even felt regretful about not including Thousand Sunny, Cinnamon Stick, and Sonnig. I had to stick to my belief, though that Lord Kanaloa descendants are good with the given conditions and if/when compared between Lord Kanaloa descendants, it would be better to choose the horse drawing an inner post.

The experience of last summer's races also meant a lot to me. I've piled up losses but now I can see it wasn't for nothing. All in all, I'm amazed at the power of Lord Kanaloa descendants in sprint races. Maybe I can use this strategy for the summer sprint series? To the undefeatable Lord Kanaloa descendants!

The End

Caterpillar

6/10  It's Special

4:18 p.m. I got up in the morning today. That's nothing to boast about, but for me it's special. I've been a night owl for so long and no matter how hard I tried to get up in the morning to lead a proper person's life, I've been failing all these years.

Yesterday I had to get up around eight to go out. Things went quite soothly and I was able to get in the bath before seven, had dinner around eight, and was able to make it to bed around one in the morning, which is something I just couldn't do for the past decade or so. But I did and although sleepy, I was abel to get up around nine or nine thirty this morning!

I'm hoping I could make use of this opportunity to get back on the right track. Checking out this weekend's races in good mood. Hmm, UHB-hai is a handicapped sprint race at Hakodate. Let me see if there any Lord kanaloa descendants entered.

There was one, yes, but this horse hasn't won a turf race, not even one. As a matter of fact, she's only won three races in her career. I wonder if she won't be scratched off?

The End

Caterpillar

6/11  Similarly Disappointed

4:22 p.m. Let's see what other races we have this Sunday. Okay, so there's the Mermaid Stakes, well that's a grade race all right, though it's limited to female horses. Let's take a look at the entrees.

I have to say they're pretty disappointing. I understand, yes, it's a G3, and it's only for female horses. But of twenty-four horses entered as of today, just 8 horses have won more than four races. The remaining two thirds of the entred horses have won less than three races. Shouldn't they try for open class or listed class races before entering grade races?

Now that I think about it, I remembered I've been similarly disapointed last year. And then, the race is going to be held at Kyoto this year, just like Takaraduka Kinen. Takaraduka Kinen is announced to be held on Kyoto this year instead of the usual Hanshin, due to renewal of the spectator stads. Darn, I wish JRA would quit replacing the site of grade races, it's so confusing!

The End

Caterpillar

6/12  A Good Buy

4:54 p.m. The remaining race would be the main race of Tokyo, but like Hakodate, it's not a grade race. It's just a simple open class race on dirt 2100m, called Sleipnir Stakes.

Tokyo dirt 2100 meters is a unique setting, as you can guess. The only two races I can think of that are run under this condition are Brilliant Stakes and Sleipnir Stakes. That means there aren't much data I could refer to when calling the race.

Another thing that might make winning this race incredibly hard in my opinion, is that the requirements for high perfomance changes drastically according to the track condition. When the dirt course is dry and power-consuming, powerful front runners have the advantage but once it's wet and fast, horses staying behind could beat the others.

No, I don't think Sleipnir Stakes is a good buy.

The End

Caterpillar

6/13  The Weekly Forecast

7:13 p.m. Had to work this afternoon. And then, I had to go out to finish the payment for my online shopping because I needed the item as soon as possible. Not to mention, I'm tired and sleepy as is often the case with me after work.

The entry for the weekend races have been closed since it's Thursday, and I was thinking of choosing Mermaid Stakes in hopes of some rain, until I saw the weekly forecast and learned that there may not be any rainfall around Kyoto Racecourse after all. The weather has got me thinking again.

Well, nothing good comes out from a tired and sleepy head. Guess I'll decide tomorrow.

The End

Caterpillar