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2019/ 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

4/01  More Serious

3:30 p.m. More serious than Stelvio though, is Epoca d'Oro.

Epoca has finally taken the lead yesterday, but the lap for the first 3 furlongs was a drowsy 36.4 seconds. This, I should say, is too slow even taking in the rather soft track condition. The horse could have done better than that, since he'd won Satsuki-sho wrapping up the first 3 furlongs in 35.5 seconds on soft track condition.

If this had been some sort of strategy, I'll understand (although think they must be crazy). But if Epoca couldn't generate that speed (which I fear), it could become critical for the horse.

The End

Caterpillar

4/02  Ohka-sho Week

2:03 p.m. Time won't wait and the races go on. This week it's Ohka-sho. The classic races for Reiwa is beginning.

There are 28 fillies entered for Ohka-sho for 18 barriers available at most. I've took a glimpse of the entry list yesterday, and decided to wait until the entry is closed. I don't want to spend time on searching about horses that later disappear from the list.

The End

Caterpillar

4/03  Why A Shin Hikari?

1:38 p.m. An article caught my eye yesterday, about Deep Impact giving up this season's breeding due to a slight pain in his neck.

The news itself wasn't unusual but what nagged in my mind was the words that followed. It said something like, " Deep Impact has brought out many great descendants such as Gentil Donna, Satono Diamond and A Shin Hikari." A Shin Hikari? Why A Shin Hikari? It could have been Kizuna (D'erby champion), or Dee Majesty (Satsuki-sho winner) or Spilberg (Tenno-sho winner) instead of A Ahin Hikari (non-title holder, domestically concerning G1).

The End

Caterpillar

4/04  Beaurocratic Work

2:28 p.m. I've been to JRA'S official website but the closed entry form still hadn't been updated yet...

Classic races like Ohka-sho or Satsuki-sho have different announcement schedules, and the barrier draws are supposed to be released by 2 p.m. Thursday. Though they never have, in fact. Beaurocratic work.

The End

Caterpillar

4/05  Just As

2:11 p.m. Just as I finished writing yesterday, JRA has uploaded the barrier draw...

Schon Glanz in post number1, Aile Voix in 2, Noble Score in 3, Chrono Genesis in 4, Regard Calme in 5, Ho O Catherine in 6, A Will Away in 7, Gran Alegria in 8, Aqua Mirabillis in 9, Figlia Pura in 10, Meisho Meikei in 11, No One in 12, Juranville in 13, Beach Samba in 14, Danon Fantasy in 15, Shigeru Pink Dia in 16, Red Astel in 17, and Pourville in 18.

That's good for Danon Fantasy, not so good for say, Schon Glanz or Beach Samba, I guess.

The End

Caterpillar

4/06  Might Have Guessed

2:33 p.m. Oh no, no, no. I got too caught up in figuring out my sleeping habit that now am running out of time.

My key for Ohka-sho will be Danon Fantasy as you might have already guessed. Her performance in Tulip-sho was outstanding, I think she can come within 3rd place for this race.

On the wheel would be Aile Voix, Chrono Genesis, Gran Alegria, No One and Shigeru Pink Dia. Maaaaybe not No One on a second thought. My guess is that if Danon Fantasy should lose below 2nd place, the 1st place would be Aile Voix, Gran Alegria, or Shigeru Pink Dia. Aile Voix, preferrable.

The End

Caterpillar

4/07  I Bought Them All

8:59 p.m. I bought all of them from 1st place to 4th. Wny am I not winning?

I thought Danon Fantasy could hang in there in 3rd place, but then, she's a Deep Impact descendant. She had already lost her motivation when her rider hit the brakes at the back stretch to hold her down... I should have guessed.

The End

Caterpillar

4/08  Wasted

3:47 p.m. I wanted to review Ohka-sho however, two thirds of my day has been wasted on visiting the usual hospital and waiting in line. Ridiculous.

Want to get right to it though I have a meeting in less than an hour, which means I have to put it off till tomorrow and that my whole day has been mostly wasted as a consequence.

The End

Caterpillar

4/09  Dixie Knight

3:02 p.m. I haven't finished my review for Ohka-sho yet, but there has been more concerning news for me.

That Dixie Knight is entering NHK Mile Cupinstead of Satsuki-sho. Whaaaat!? I was secretly writing his name down on my list so as not to forget to buy him in Satsuki-sho!

And that Saturnalia's rider is going to change from Mirco to Christophe. Because Mirco is riding Admire Mars, right? Well, this doesn't matter much to tell you the truth.

The End

Caterpillar

4/10  Afraid Of

5:05 p.m. All right, so I can finally get started with Satsuki-sho.

What I've been worrying since last year is whether Saturnalia is in the form to win another G1 or not. Since 3 years ago, I've been observing how Hopeful Stakes winners perform in Satsuki-sho, considering the fact it may be promoted in the near future. So far the winners have all sunk in Satsuki-sho. That's what I'm afraid of.

The End

Caterpillar

4/11  Only Yesterday

4:16 p.m. I've just got started on Satsuki-sho only yesterday and the barrier draw has already been released. Oh yes, it was Thursday.

Admire Mars in post number 1, Satono Lux in 2, Fantasist in 3, Danon Kingly in 4, Lance of Puraana in in 5, Courageux Guerrier in 6, Velox in 7, Nishino Daisy in 8, Meisho Tengen in 9, Schwarz Riese in 10, Last Draft in 11, Saturnalia in 12, Breaking Dawn in 13, Daddy's Mind in 14, Kurino Gaudi in 15, Tagano Diamante in 16, Admire Justa in 17 and Naimama in 18.

Ideal post for Saturnalia. Depending on the horse's condition, he might even sweep the rest.

The End

Caterpillar

4/12  Slightly Concerning

2:41 p.m. I haven't made much progress on calling Satsuki-sho. It's been very stressful and I'm frustrated that I don't have much to say here today.

Just one thing. The win odds have already started moving. Have JRA started selling through the Internet? The ups and downs of win odds is slightly concerning, as Shigeru Pink Dia whose win odds had temporalily shot up last week actually came in 2nd in Ohka-sho.

Right now, Saturnalia is the most favored under the win odds of 1.1(!!), while Velox follows 2nd with 20.7(!!) and Danon Kingley following 3rd with 29.9. What happened to Admire Mars?

The End

Caterpillar

4/13  Still Undecided

2:49 p.m. Sigh. I've managed to decide the key horse in what little time I had this week, but still in deep thought about which horse to put on my wheel.

My key horse would be Saturnalia. Don't boo, I know. Was torn between Admire Mars, though eventually decided to take Saturnalia. I thought this horse could be another Almond Eye when I saw him win Hopeful Stakes, I think I ought to trust myself.

The current candidates for my wheel are: Danon Kingly, Lance of Puraana, Breaking Dawn, Admire Mars, Nishino Daisy, and Fantasist. Will have to narrow them down a bit.

The End

Caterpillar

4/14  Out Of The Blue

8:58 p.m. I've reviewed the video of Hopeful Stakes so dutifully yesterday and had decided to key Saturnalia. And then I've had a sudden change of mind and keyed Danon Kingly instead.

Not that it mattered as I hadn't marked Velox at all... Out of the blue. And why has stupid Cow won a trifecta?

The End

Caterpillar

4/15  Good Chance

3:50 p.m. The spring races have only started and I'm already losing my hope. It seems the trend that once was in the spring classics racing schedule has now changed, and this might have changed the consequence. Anyway, must review thoroughly.

This week we have a step race for Yasuda Kinen in June and no G1. It may be a good chance to cool off my confused head before Tennno-sho.

The End

Caterpillar

4/16  A Thorough Investigation

2:11 p.m. I've gone through a thorough investigation on the cause of my loss and figured out that it was because I'd underestimated Velox.

Since Veloxhad lost in 4th place in a G3 race, I'd thought he wasn't ready for a G1 yet. If I had looked closer, I might have realized that his loss was only by a nose against Nishino Daisy who came in 3rd place in his next race, Hopeful Stakes, G1. This meant Velox could race in a G1 level, but it had slipped through.

The End

Caterpillar

4/17  Unbelievable News

1:44 p.m. Unbelievable news have come in today.

One is that Sciacchetra has been met with a critical fracture during his training for the coming-up Tenno-sho. Unfortunately, the horse has been euthanatized as there was no chance of recovery. The sudden death of Sciacchetra has been shocking especially, after the great performance in his previous race, Hanshin Dai-shoten. R.I.P.

The other news is about Almond Eye, that her trainer didn't enter her in the Arc. I took it for granted that she would, so was quite surprised yes, but respect the trainer's decision. It must have been a difficult decision and I admire his courage.

The End

Caterpillar

4/18  Money, Money, Money

3:06 p.m. Right after I'd written about Sciacchetra, the news of Hishi Amazon came in. She was 28, passed with old age. It's funny how we think that our star horses live on forever when they actually don't. It feels like only yesterday when Hishi Amazon had performed a match race against that Narita Brian.

Today's horse race news revealed what might have been behind the scenes concerning Almond Eye's change in schedule. That her club owners might have wanted to have her run in domestic races because they had to pay for the expedition to France. Also that Almond Eye's breeder wanted to send in Saturnalia instead from a business perspective. Money, money, money. It's sad to think some people make decisions based on only money.

The End

Caterpillar

4/19  Of Course I Remember

2:18 p.m. It's not a G1, but the barriers for Sunday's Yomiuri Milers' Cup has been announced so let's take a look.

Stormy Sea in post number 1, Pax Americana in 2, Indy Champ in 3, Mozu Ascot in 4, Koei Tkeru in 5, Danon Premium in 6, Toa Raijin in 7, Guanciale in 8, Keiai Nautique in 9, and Meisho Owara in 10.

It's a good draw for Pax Americana. Of course I remember him, he was my key horse in my first race this year, Kyoto Kinpai. I also remember it was My Style who blew my 150,000-yen triplet.

The End

Caterpillar