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Caterpillar's Murmur

Inner Posts or Out

(WED) February 4th, 2026

8:39 p.m. Since the pace rarely gets tight in Tokyo Shinbun-hai, basically, it would be better to choose horses that can run the last three furlongs faster than others. That said, it depends on how the field would be formed during the race to decide which you should focus on, the inner post drawers or the outer post.

If the pace doesn't get fast, it would naturally be harder for horses staing behind to take over the horses running ahead of them especially when the track is either firm and fast or soft and time consuming on the contrary. Trailers starting from outer posts generally would have an even harder time considering the distance and course loss.

The only case they could neutralize this disadvantage is when there are several front runners starting from outer posts, that can take initiative to make a formation putting a lid on the horses taking the inner course. I think that's what happened in 2023.

Weighing the pace on one side and the formation on the other, I guess it's safer to keep horses with the fastest three furlong records on the buy list, whether they draw inner posts or out.

The End

Caterpillar

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