Just Came Across

(THU) October 10th, 2024

8:23 p.m. As I was trying to pick up useful information from the results of the past 10 years, I came across the fact that most of the thirty horses that finished above third place in Shuka-sho have finished above 4th place in their previous races.

Of all thirty horses that performed well, 25 horses also performed well in their previous races (regardledd of the class) to finish above third place. From the remaining five, two horses respectively had finished either fourth or fifth place and there was only one horse that didn't even make it to the bulletin board in its previous race.

Looking closely at the five horses that finished in either fourth, fifth or worse place in their previous races, three of them were running Oaks before their previous races as well as improving their results from Oaks.

The remaining two horses were Mozu Katchan and Pearl Code. Mozu was running in Oaks actually finishing in second place behind Soul Stirling, but dropped her performance to seventh place in Rose Stakes. Pearl Code ran Flora Stakes, a G2 step race for Oaks finishing second, then losing in fifth place in Shion Stakes.

To wrap it up, horses that finished above third place in their previous races are good to buy. Horses that finished fourth or fifth place in their previous races can also be given a pass if they're improving their performances from Oaks. You can ignore the horses that finished lower than fifth place in their previous races, if they haven't finished above second place in a grade race two races ago.

The End

Caterpillar