No Avoiding

(TUE) March 10th, 2026

9:27 p.m. If I'm going to stick to Nakayama 1800m, there's no avoiding reflecting on Nakayama Hinba Stakes. I need to know what exactly I did wrong.

Nakayama Hinba Stakes was difficult to call for me for two things. One was the track condition, which turned out to be good to firm despite being in relatively good condition with fast records. Because the track condition was announced to be good to firm contrary to my expectation, I panicked and all the theories in my head got blown way. If I'd been calm enough to take in the information to link it to my memory, it may not have been that hard to come up with the potential horses to perform well on Nakayama turf 1800m.

Usually when the turf condition gets soft while the pace isn't so fast, the inner post drawers and front runners are much advantaged. It would be difficult for the outer post drawers to take over the horses running ahead of them because of the pace and the distance loss they are forced to bear. So if you wanted to perform well from an outer post, all you can do is to either go up front or sweep up the outside to gradually raise the position.

If there was no outer post drawer who could adopt either strategy, the top 3 finishers (or even more) would be dominated by inner post drawers. This is what happened in Nakayama Hinba Stakes.

The End

Caterpillar