2018/10
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10/01  Not Make The Same Mistake

3:48 p.m. Let's learn from mistakes and hope I won't make the same mistake again. Also hope Cow will not either. Meanwhile, yeterday's races at Hanshin has been called off due to the typhoon and was announced to be held today however, this too has been postponed to tomorrow due to transport problems.

It has also been announced that Rey De Oro is going to enter Tenno-sho. About time. It seems Christophe continues to ride the horse, so their next race after Tenno-sho could be Arima Kinen, considering Christophe's schedule (he's riding Almond Eye for Japan Cup). Speaking of Tenno-sho, the trials for the race will be run this weekend on both eastern and western turf; Mainichi-Ohkan and Kyoto Dai-shoten.

The End

Caterpillar

10/02  Entry Forms Not Yet Uploaded

1:57 p.m. Net Keiba has not uploaded this weekend's races' entry forms yet assumingly, because the replacement races for last week's Hanshin hasn't finished. They are running today.

I can guess that Aerolithe would probabaly the most favored in Mainichi Ohkan, though. With Moreira on her back, it's almost definite. But I wouldn't bet on her win as there's too much risk. Every year there are a few older horses that become favored, while it's usually the 3-year-olds that perform better.

The End

Caterpillar

10/03  Complains About Oju's Schedule

5:03 p.m. It took half the week to have the entry forms of the weekend races uploaded onto netkeiba.com, but that is not what I'm complaining about. Ojuchosan has been announced to enter Nanbu Tokubetsu (Tokyo turf 2,400m) held on November 3rd.

Darn, why did they decide to do this? Are they so freaked out? If so, they shouldn't have set Arima Kinen as their goal in the first place. What are they going to say and do if Oju lost the next race? So disappointing.

The End

Caterpillar

10/04  Learning From Past Results

3:19 p.m. Learning from past results I think, is quite important as well as practical. So I've been to check out the past results of Mainichi Ohkan held this weekend, after confirming the most favored to be Aerolithe. Expected.

Think I've mentioned before that 3-year-olds annually perform better than the top favored horses in this race. Well, reviewing the past ten years' results, I would set the guidline on which 3-year-old to not buy. You should not buy 3-year-olds that hasn't even won a G3 race, they're simply not ready or don't have enough potential for upper grade races. Also you should avoid the ones that race from the rear, as there is almost no chance to reach to the top from such position.

The End

Caterpillar

10/05  Mainichi Ohkan Barriers Released

2:35 p.m. The announcement for barriers of Kyoto Dai-shoten is to be awaited, but Mainichi Ohkan's has been released so let's take a look.

Aerolithe has drawn pot number 9, Satono Arthur 4 and Stelvio, 5. Last year's Kikka-sho winner Kiseki has drawn 1. Because there are only 13 horses entered in this race, it would have been better for Aerolithe to draw inner posts. It would be quite interesting to see how Sounds Of Earth performs. His performance in Sapporo Kinen suggests the 7-year-old is getting back into shape.

Meanwhile, there will be an integrated G1 dirt race called Nanbu-hai held on local Morioka tracks Monday, with Le Vent Se Leve and Gold Dream racing against other big names like Nonkono Yume. Nonko drew post number 1, Gold Dream 7 and Le Vent Se Leve 12. Wonder which would win?

The End

Caterpillar

10/06  Cheval is in 8

1:45 p.m. Let me check out the barrier draw for Kyoto Dai-shoten, first. Cheval Grand is in post number 8, while Satono Diamond drew 2 and Bless Journey 3. Red Genova seems to be the most rising, but it would be interesting to see how Cheval and Diamond would perform.

As for Mainichi Ohkan, my key horse would be Stelvio. Don't think he would sweep up to the top, though it is likely for him to come in 2nd. On the wheel would be Keiai Nautique, Satono Arthur, Aerolithe, Stephanos and Sounds of Earth. Hope Cow won't forget to upload this week.

The End

Caterpillar

10/07  Stelvio 2nd As Planned

4:39 p.m. Stelvio came in 2nd as I'd predicted, but Keiai Nauteque didn't perform as well assumingly because of his weight gain, although Stephanos had done his best.

I decided Stelvio as my key since horses shortening their distances can come up on the home stretch breaking through the pack if need be. However, if that was so, I should also have bought Kiseki instead of Satono Arthur for the same reason, especially when I knew the lap won't tighten. My call still needs to be brushed up a bit before the G1 series.

The End

Caterpillar

10/08  Kyoto Dai-shoten Run

5:28 p.m. Although it was a holiday today, Kyoto Dai-shoten has been run as mentioned before.

Found it interesting that Satono Diamond has won, but the more encouraging fact was that my key horse Red Genova has come in 2nd. Rider Ikezoe has struggled to find his course on the last stretch however, Genova might have beaten Diamond if it had been more smooth. Cheval Grand has lost in 4th place, but that was expected and I now know his crew are good learners.

The End

Caterpillar

10/09  Far From Impressive

2:49 p.m. Personally, I think Satono Diamond's performance was far from impressive although the headlines are screaming his come back. If the horse was really back in his prime condition, he would probably have wrapped up the last 3 furlongs in 33.9 seconds. And what I'm afraid of is that this might be his best performance for now meaning, there isn't much room for the horse's performance to improve after Kyoto Dai-shoten.

Given that Satono Diamond's next race will be Japan Cup, I have a feeling that he would not win in his next race. On the other hand, Cheval Grand has a chance to get better as he did last year in the same schedule, while Red Genova stays fresh to face Queen Elizabeth Cup more than 4 weeks ahead.

The End

Caterpillar

10/10  Gold Actor Retiring

2:05 p.m. A couple of news about retiring horses. The 2015 Arima Kinen winner Gold Actor has been announced to retire as well as Seewind. last year's Tanabata-sho winner. It's sad to watch a horse like Gold Actor go, but then no living creature can beat time. Sending my best wishes for his future as a stallion.

Meanwhile, Kiseki who came in 2nd in Mainichi Ohkan has finally be decided to enter Tenno-sho (autumn). The horse's crew have been aiming longer distance though have now changed their course to a middle range distance, seeing Kiseki's performance in Mainichi Ohkan. Yeah, think that would be better for the horse.

The End

Caterpillar

10/11  Danon Premium Entering Tenno-sho

3:47 p.m. Following the retirement news, I've read an article about Danon Premium entering Tennno-sho (!!).

It is not unusual for a 3-year-old to enter Tenno-sho since the distance of Kikka-sho is considered too long for many horses. It's jus that I hadn't thought of the possibility up until now so the news came as a little surprise for me.

The End

Caterpillar

10/12  Excitement Is Building Up

2:33 p.m. It's announced! The barrier draw for Shuka-sho this weekend has been announced! Excitement is building up.

Lathyros in post number 1, Cantabile in 2, Scarlet Color in 3, Randonnee in 4, Salacia in 5, Pioneer Bio in 6, Lucky Lilac in 7, Tosen Bless in 8, Satono Garnet in 9, All For Love in 10, Almond Eye in 11, Oscar Ruby in 12, Mikki Charm in 13, Gorgeous Lunch in 14, Harlem Line in 15, Primo Scene in 16, Sayakachan in 17 and Dancar in 18. Not a bad draw for Almond Eye whilst Lucky Lilac might have needed an inner post to beat her rival.

The End

Caterpillar

10/13  The Triple Crown Winner

2:55 p.m. Okay, my key horse is Almond Eye not to mention. One cannot go against that horse. I assure you she'll be the triple crown winner and might even earn herself another extra crown in Japan Cup.

I'm not so sure whether I'll buy a wheel, since it would be a match between Lucky Lilac, Cantabile, and Salacia for the 2nd and 3rd prize. Dancar may have a slight chance for 3rd, but you see, Mirco is not the almighty.

The End

Caterpillar

10/14  Triple Crown Winner Witnessed

4:48 p.m. So we've witnessed the fifth fillie triple crown winner just born. It's amazing that two out of five fillie triple crown winners are from the same Kunieda stable. I've had the honor of seeing him face to face though only for a short time before, and had the impression that he was a sensible guy. My congrats to him and all his staff.

I should have included Mikki Charm in my call, though. I've left my notes at my work place so I can't be sure why I cut her out, but I probably missed too pick up the fact that she had a 2-and-a-half-month's interval after her tough races in Hokkaido. Must not make the same miss for Kikka-sho, since 3-year-olds that have experienced tough races during the summer tend to perform well in autumn, given that their damage is taken care of.

The End

Caterpillar