Caterpillar's Murmur
The Hard Part
(WED) July 2nd, 2025
9:39 p.m. Trying to figure out the patterns of high-performing three-year-olds.
Basically, the three-year-olds should be advantaged since Kita-kyushu Kinen could be their first grade race racing against older horses, which means they could fully use the benefit of their freshness. However, some of the challengers in the past have benn bounced of the high wall of a G3 race mixed with older horses. These seem to be the horses that had already been burnt out before running Kita-kyushu Kinen.
The hard part it seems, is where to draw the line between a three-year-old that still have energy to fight against stronger competitors in tougher conditions and a three-year-old that has already reached its prime.
The End
Caterpillar