Age Brackets

(WED) April 24th, 2024

8:26 p.m. When you look at the results of Tennosho (spring) according to age brackets, the 5-year-olds seems to be at the center of high performance in the past ten years, having the winning ratio of 10.9%, 17.4% place ratio, and the show ratio by 19.6%.

The 4-year-olds follow closely behind in win and place, while slightly leading in show ratio with 25.0%. The respective ratios for 6-year-olds and above grow smaller by age with 0% wins in 7year-olds and 8-year-olds. The place ratio for 7-year-olds is also 0%.

If I take this information at face vallue, I wouldn't have to worry about where to position the older horses. I'd simply put them on the third row of my wheel. 7-year-old horses that actually performed well in the past 10 years were Silver Sonic, Perform a Promise, and Curren Mirotic.

Curiously, Curren Mirotic has raised its performance finishing in second place the following year, but this overlaps with how Cheval Grand upgraded its performance from third to second. It could be considered a unique nature of Heart's Cry descendants. So unless the aged candidates are heart's Cry descendants, I don't have to be careful. Great!

The End

Caterpillar